The Bradley Model revisited

Submitted by Roanman on Sun, 02/21/2010 - 12:32

 

OK, here's the Bradley Model for the years 2008-10 from Manfred Zimmel.

All of the Bradley Model charts link to his site aminita.at.

I don't as of yet have much experience with aminita.at.

They aren't cheap.

I am.

So far it's been an emotional back and forth.

I downloaded their 2009 report after it went free. It was pretty right on.

As was my friend Richard Nolle at astropro.com

The second chart is that of the S&P 500 for 2008.

You will notice that the 2008 Bradley chart catches both the June turning point and the September dive of all things financial.

 

 

The 2009 hit pretty close the February turning point, then caught the turn, but flat out missed the accelerating upward drive from July through the end of the year.

Which brings me to the caveat in bright red ink stamped right there on the chart.

The Bradley predicts turning points ONLY and not the polarity, i.e. a high in the chart may also be a low, and vice versa.

I don't like that. C'mon, grow a pair!!!

 

.

 

 

I do the same thing for each chart, on one I get a frame, the other no.  Makes me nutsl!!!

The reason I bring all this up?

Another test for "The Bradley" occurs March 1, 2010 through August 10, 2010

 

 

Now you're warned.

As for me, I'm gonna enjoy life over here on the sidelines.

 

OK, OK I'll admit it.

I'm short a little.

Seems prudent. 

 

Joe Stack, in his own words

Submitted by Roanman on Sat, 02/20/2010 - 10:05

 

 
I've edited here in the sense that I have cut and pasted segments I found to be ... something.
The quote links to a scanned copy of the entire letter.
 The gears link to the two editorials about this story that made the most sense to me. 
 
 
 ...... Why is it that a handful of thugs and plunderers can commit unthinkable atrocities (and in the case of the GM executives, for scores of years) and when it's time for their gravy train to crash under the weight of their gluttony and overwhelming stupidity, the force of the full federal government has no difficulty coming to their aid within days if not hours? Yet at the same time, the joke we call the American medical system, including the drug and insurance companies, are murdering tens of thousands of people a year and stealing from the corpses and victims they cripple, and this country's leaders don't see this as important as bailing out a few of their vile, rich cronies. Yet, the political "representatives" (thieves, liars, and self-serving scumbags is far more accurate) have endless time to sit around for year after year and debate the state of the "terrible health care problem". It's clear they see no crisis as long as the dead people don't get in the way of their corporate profits rolling in. ......
 ......Years later, after weathering a divorce and the constant struggle trying to build some momentum with my business, I find myself once again beginning to finally pick up some speed. Then came the .COM bust and the 911 nightmare. Our leaders decided that all aircraft were grounded for what seemed like an eternity; and long after that, 'special' facilities like San Francisco were on security alert for months. This made access to my customers prohibitively expensive. Ironically, after what they had done the Government came to the aid of the airlines with billions of our tax dollars ... as usual they left me to rot and die while they bailed out their rich, incompetent cronies WITH MY MONEY! After these events, there went my business but not quite yet all of my retirement and savings. ......
 ...... I remember reading about the stock market crash before the "great" depression and how there were wealthy bankers and businessmen jumping out of windows when they realized they screwed up and lost everything. Isn't it ironic how far we've come in 60 years in this country that they now know how to fix that little economic problem; they just steal from the middle class (who doesn't have any say in it, elections are a joke) to cover their asses and it's "business-as-usual". Now when the wealthy fuck up, the poor get to die for the mistakes ... isn't that a clever, tidy solution.  As government agencies go, the FAA is often justifiably referred to as a tombstone agency, though they are hardly alone. The recent presidential puppet GW Bush and his cronies in their eight years certainly reinforced for all of us that this criticism rings equally true for all of the government. Nothing changes unless there is a body count (unless it is in the interest of the wealthy sows at the government trough). In a government full of hypocrites from top to bottom, life is as cheap as their lies and their self-serving laws.
 

 

To quote Burt Prelutsky

Submitted by Roanman on Tue, 02/16/2010 - 07:43

I'm not making this up!

Submitted by Roanman on Tue, 02/16/2010 - 07:08

The Bradley Model

Submitted by Roanman on Mon, 02/15/2010 - 06:37

 

The Bradley Model is a chart constructed on a set of astrological parameters defined by Donald A. Bradley in his famed 1948 book, Stock Market Prediction (The Planetary Barometer and How to Use it).

The foreward, by Llewellyn George begins as follows:

"Although this text is not primarily intended to be a stock market forecaster, yet by judicious operators it is quite likely to become their most valued treasure for anticipating trends and changes which are due to mass mind activity.

It tells how to properly chart that psychological activity in compliance with well known planetary forces."

OK, now I understand fully that your first inclination here will be to laugh like hell, and go to chaneling Festus, who once famously said to the apostle Paul, "You are beside yourself!  Much learning is driving you mad!"

Especially those of you who insist on picking up the telephone in order to offer a personal harangue over any mostly innocent notion I may have that doesn't correspond perfectly with your own personal world view.

YOU KNOW WHO YOU ARE !!!

Before you go there however, consider this.

If you're a Christian, and I know for a fact that a mess of you are.

On the fourth day, God himself said, and I'm quoting here,

"Let there be lights in the firmament of the heavens to divide the day from the night; and let them be for signs and seasons, and for days and years."

The word Lunacy is derived from the same root as the word Lunar, Luna the Roman moon goddess. This relationship extends to other languages, most notably Welsh where these two words are lloer and lloerig.

Regardless of you spiritual inclination, anecdotal evidence persists regarding police department and emergency rooms ramping up during full moons, although there is almost no scientific or statistical evidence of any correlation between the full moon and increased crime, emergency room visits, births or anything else.  

Almost without exception, every study that has been able to demonstrate any correlation between the full moon and any studied event has been subsequently debunked.  What's most interesting here is that the debunkers almost universally believe in "Global Warming" (Just Kidding)

The Chart below is that for the "Bradley Model" calculated from about 1840 through about 2040.

It is simply charting the sum (positive or negative, zero is down the middle) of a set of mathematical values Bradley attached to the angles of relationship between the Sun, the Moon, and the planets that make up our solar system.

Planets in relationship of or near 0, 60, 90, 120 and 180 degrees were considered and a value (again positive or negative) was assigned each.

The positive or negative values were assigned on the basis of the historic consensus having to do with the benefic, or malefic qualities of each planet within each angular relationship between the planets.

Got that?

Don't worry about it.  Here's all you gotta know.

Just look at the chart, up is good, down is bad.

 

 

 

It catches the "The Panic of 1873", which began "The Long Depression" which according to the National Bureau of Economic Research lasted until March 1979, a total of 65 months and longer by nearly a year and a half than "The Great Depression"

Take note of the extremely low, low point that so nicely corresponds with the "Crash of 29" stock market descent that extended from 9/3/29 until about 7/32, and the mostly continuous lows during "The Great Depression".

It catches "The Panic of 1910", the "Black Monday" crash of October 19, 1987.

And, how bout that big fat high point sitting over the middle to late 1990's.

Now, let's consider the summer of 2010.

Whoa!!!

DANGER WILL ROBINSON, DANGER!!!

(The above was a time continuum joke)

Your Uncle Roany is in Cash (Mostly Canadian) and Gold!!!

I'm just sayin.

 

 

Reading on a Saturday Morning

Submitted by Roanman on Sat, 02/13/2010 - 09:53

 

Those of you who know me well, know that unless I have properly medicated myself, I don't sleep worth a damn.

You also know that I truly enjoy my medication (child of the 60's with all that implies).

Better sleep through chemistry being one of my several dozen favored mottos.

The consensus diagnosis has up until just recently always been "guilty conscience".

But a new diagnosis is emerging.

 "It's the crap you read!!!!!"

Examples follow:

 

It’s likely the Fed will respond with a new round of injections, sending the dollar into a death spiral, much like the present situation in Venezuela. It will be another disaster for those who aren’t ready, and more huge profits for those who are … I’m staying focused on what I believe are the two carved-in-granite long term investment trends: more war, and more debasement of the US dollar.” - Richard Maybury, Early Warning Report, 02-10 

 

“…the United States no longer has Israeli national security as an overriding consideration…

In the unlikely event that Iran actually does develop a weapon and does strike, Israel is the likely target…a nuclear strike would have a particularly devastating effect on Israel. Unlike the United States, Israel is small country with a highly concentrated population. A strike with just one or two weapons could destroy Israel. …

Carrying out a multiday or even multiweek air campaign with Israel's available force is too likely to be insufficient and too likely to fail. Israel's most effective option for taking out Iran's nuclear activities is itself nuclear. Israel could strike Iran from submarines if it genuinely intended to stop Iran's program.” – George Friedman, STRATFOR, 02-04-10 

 

“For every dollar in debt that Americans have paid off since they started cleansing their balance sheets in mid-2008, the U.S. government has borrowed more than $7.” – MarketWatch, 02-08-10

 

Maybe.

 

Rest in peace, Charlie Wilson

Submitted by Roanman on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 11:33

 

I fell in love with Charlie Wilson having read the following two quotes in a Wall Street Journal article written by John Fund about the time "Charlie Wilson's War" was appearing in theaters across the country.

The first, wherein he promised his constituents that were he to ever get caught in a scandal,

"I won't blame booze and I won't suddenly find Jesus."

The second, in that interview with John Fund about having toured Afghanistan, and having seen the starvation of the Afghan people, and the Afghan children whose hands had been blown off by explosives disguised as toys.

"I decided to grab the commie sons o'bitches by the throat."

This was a man I can admire.

If you have some time, rent the movie, or buy the book by the same name.

Be warned, the language is terrible, still the story is very worthwhile.

Rest in peace Charlie Wilson, and you too "Gust" Avrakotos.

God bless you both.

 

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